at and t cellular: Oil shock

July 23rd, 2026

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book.

What we're watching today:

Top News

Oil shock

Yemen's Houthis hit two Saudi oil tankers overnight in the Bab el-Mandab, sending WTI soaring above $90. But unlike Hormuz, traders are pricing the Yemen situation as an isolated threat to Saudi shipping - not a full closure of the waterway.

Bab el-Mandab Effectively Closed? →

Quick Links

Oil price (WTI) in July →

Saudi retaliates against Yemen? →

Rate shock

Fed chair Kevin Warsh is departing from Powell's 'don't surprise the market' philosophy. An unexpected interest rate hike is now a real possibility at next week's Fed meeting. Here's how one top economic forecaster is playing it.

Check odds →

Clark spike

Caitlin Clark’s MVP market was left for dead earlier this month, but those odds are rising again. After a historic 45-point, 10-assist game before the break, Clark had another huge performance Wednesday.

Check WNBA MVP odds →

Breaking News

Odds

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?

View market →

60%

+51%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?

View market →

20%

-51%

Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

View market →

72%

-14%

See all Breaking →

New

Listed

Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?

10h ago

Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?

11h ago

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

11h ago

See all New →

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Last Word

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