at and t cellular: New Trump tariffs to tank stocks?

July 22nd, 2026

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book.

What we're watching today:

Top News

Bounce?

The Iran war rages on, rate hikes are now a base case, and the FT reports that Trump is prepping more tariffs on "dozens" of countries. Yet Polymarket traders are confident we'll get another all time high in stocks before the year is out.

S&P 500 all time high this year? →

Quick Links

Rate hikes this year? →

New Tariffs? →

Neck and neck

He hasn't announced yet, but Jon Ossoff's 2028 odds continue to strengthen. The Georgia Senator has been taking market share from Gavin Newsom all summer and is now tied with AOC for second place.

Latest DNOM odds →

Super model forecaster

Top ranked competitive forecaster Peter Wildeford spills his secrets for timing new AI releases.

Watch now →

A streak deferred

Boston was set to chase a franchise record-tying 15th straight win Tuesday, until weather postponed the Red Sox-Orioles matchup. Now traders will have to wait for today’s doubleheader to see whether the streak makes history.

Check odds →

Breaking News

Odds

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?

View market →

66%

+54%

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?

View market →

30%

-19%

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

View market →

27%

+18%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

Bank of Russia decision in July?

1d

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

Likud Party Primary Winner

12h ago

Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

12h ago

Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?

16h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Fed Decision in July?

$5.17M

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$569.8K

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

100d

$3.91M

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

6d

$687.8K

Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC

22h

$385.2K

See all Top Sports →

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