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Mamdani to arrest Netanyahu?

Monday, July 20, 2026

Polygraph by Polymarket
July 20th, 2026 Unsubscribe

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book.

Polymarket U.S.What we're watching today:

Top News
Top news image

Bibi in trouble?

Traders are skeptical that Zohran Mamdani, or anyone else for that matter, will arrest Benjamin Netanyahu this year. But that doesn't mean Bibi is in the clear. His odds to remain Prime Minister after Israel's October election are sinking.

Bibi arrested in NYC? →
​

Quick Links

Next Prime Minister of Israel? →
Top news image

The Kimi effect

The July 16 release of Kimi K3, a Chinese open-source frontier AI model has taken a bite out of NVIDIA and other U.S. AI names.

Check odds →
​

Quick Links

Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27? →
Anthropic’s valuation by December 31? →
Top news image

Ratings blowout?

The World Cup final is over. The TV-ratings market is not. Spain beat Argentina, Messi’s last ride came up short, Trump photobombed the new champs, and now one of the final questions left on the board is how many U.S. viewers tuned in for the whole spectacle.

Check odds →
​
Breaking News Odds

Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

View market →
30%
-48%

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?

View market →
57%
+26%

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?

View market →
66%
+25%
See all Breaking →
​
New Listed

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

8h ago

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

7h ago

European military action against Iran by...?

8h ago

See all New →
​
Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

$2.38M

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$1.02M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$854.0K

See all Hot Polymarkets →
​
Top Sports Starts In

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

102d

$2.15M

MLB: 2026 NL Central Champion

82d

$825.3K

NBA: 2027 Champion

345d

$356.7K

See all Top Sports →

Last Word

Last word image

Combo Cup

The World Cup may be over but the Combo Cup rolls on. $50k in prizes are up for grabs each day for the top combo traders

Read more →

​

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posted by June Lesley at 4:35 AM

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