Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:
Top Stories
MVP Fumble
Odds for this season's NFL MVP flipped last night following a disasterous three-interception game thrown by the Rams' Matthew Stafford against Atlanta. Stafford had been leading in the MVP odds since mid-November until Monday night's debacle.
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Pelosi Mogs MTG?
NEW: You can now forecast which politicians will out-trade the market using their deep fundamental research and uncanny timing. First up: Marjorie Taylor Greene's portfolio of tech giants and logistics plays like NVDA, AMZN, and UPS versus Nancy Pelosi's AI picks-and-shovels basket including VST, AVGO, and PANW.
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🔮 Just Call Them
From The Oracle: Hedge fund manager Chris DeMuth Jr. has made a career finding edge in unusual ways. From paying homeless people to stake out government offices, to cold-calling Larry Ellison and listening for keyboard clicks to gauge deal momentum. In this interview, he reveals his playbook for developing human sources and why the signed Netflix-Warner deal is less ironclad than it seems.
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Breaking News
Odds
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?
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2%
-78%
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
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16%
-30%
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
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