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Welcome back to your daily steak and lobster ration at the Polymarket chow hall. Today:

Get $25 free with $10 first deposit to polymarket USA — use code POLYGFOOTBALL. Download on the App Store.

🏈 $500 -> $865.88: If the Seahawks beat the Bronos tonight...

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NBA: LeBron James Next Team — price history for the leading outcomes

Beijing bar exam

Trump's new press sec Katie Zacharia had a rough first day at the podium. And now she's coming under scrutiny for her legal credentials. But Polymarket traders are fading a Scaramucci-style quick exit.

Katie Zacharia out by?

Andrew Curran on a possible U.S. ban of Chinese AI models

Flatline

AI stocks are getting whacked after Anthropic reported decelerating revenue growth. Polymarket traders are not putting a dent in the lab's valuation estimate, but odds of an IPO by year-end continue to slip.

Anthropic year-end valuation

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Anthropic IPO by?

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OSINTdefender on the Red Sea shipping ban

Rizz gap

Does Graham Platner's boba-sipping understudy have a "candidate quality" issue? We review the top 5 viral moments of the campaign to find out.

Read now

BIGGEST CHANGES IN ODDS TODAY

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Breaking News

Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?

62%

+39%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?

38%

+21%

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

29%

-12%

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December 31 — Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

13h

California winter 2026-27 wetter or drier?

16h

Will another state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?

17h

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MOST TRADED IN THE LAST DAY

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Hot Polymarkets

No change — Fed Decision in October?

$4.8M

December 31, 2028 — Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

$2.1M

Gadi Eizenkot — Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$566k

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What's hot this week

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Culture

Paper Trail — Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations

72%

December 31, 2026 — Faber brings Rooney books back to UK by…?

51%

Muse from Meta — #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

96%

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New England — New England vs. Miami

75%

Denver — Kansas City vs. Denver

57%

Seattle — Seattle vs. Denver

56%

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Two ways to trade

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Beijing bar exam

Thursday, October 15, 2026

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Two ways to trade

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