Michigan takes a hard left
Wednesday, August 5, 2026
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Welcome back to your daily briefing from the world’s live probability machine.
What’s moving today:
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Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? View market → |
97%
+48%
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US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? View market → |
63%
+19%
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Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? View market → |
47%
-19%
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Who will attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
3d |
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Sinaloa Governor Election Winner |
54m ago |
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Chihuahua Governor Election Winner |
31m ago |
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Baja California Sur Governor Election Winner |
26m ago |
| Hot Polymarkets |
24H Volume |
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? |
$1.74M |
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Fed Decision in September? |
$1.40M |
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
$971.2K |
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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 |
86d$225.2K |
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2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) |
38d$213.1K |
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EPL: 2027 Champion |
298d$434.5K |
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posted by June Lesley at 5:18 AM

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