at and t cellular: Iran deal within reach?

August 3rd, 2026

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Welcome back to your daily briefing from the Polymarket front lines.

$20 FREE with $10 first deposit to Polymarket USA - Download on the App Store - code POLYGRAPH - $500 to $2,729 if Republicans keep the House at midterms.

What’s moving today:

Top News

Iran talks resume

Trump says U.S.-Iran negotiations will restart today, with a Strait of Hormuz agreement reportedly within reach. Traders are pricing when the next formal round of peace talks will begin.

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? →

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? →

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks? →

Michigan’s left turn

Michigan Democrats vote Tuesday in a nationally watched clash between progressive Abdul El-Sayed & centrist Rep. Haley Stevens. After a dramatic late surge, markets now price El-Sayed at 98% to capture the open-seat Senate nomination.

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Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory →

Michigan Senate Election Winner →

Trump backs the yen

Trump says the U.S. is supporting Japan’s currency as pressure builds around the exchange rate. Traders are now pricing how far USD/JPY could move before the end of 2026.

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Will Trump visit Japan in 2026? →

Back to School

A judge just granted an injunction allowing Class of 2022 athletes to pursue a fifth year of eligibility, setting off a last-minute scramble in the odds a few weeks before the season.

CFB National Champ odds →

Breaking News

Odds

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?

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99%

+61%

Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?

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27%

-37%

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?

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33%

-20%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

12h

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Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

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Top Sports

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