at and t cellular: "Like the first days of the war"

Polygraph by Polymarket — World Cup 2026 Knockout Week

July 12th, 2026

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book.

⚽ $500 → $1,233 if France lifts the World Cup

Top News

War back on

Iran said it has "completely closed" the Strait of Hormuz and hit the command center at the U.S. air base in Qatar with ballistic missiles. Local residents in Qatar describe it feeling "like the first days of the war."

Check Odds →

Quick Links

Iran successfully targets shipping? →

Iran military action against Gulf States? →

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026? →

Lindsey Graham

The sudden death of Senator Lindsey Graham has thrown Republican politics into disarray. South Carolina Governor McMaster will name a temporary replacement, with early names being floated include Mark Lynch, who ran against Graham in the primaries, and Rep. Nancy Mace.

Check Midterms Forecast →

All top seeds in this "Final Four"

For the first time ever, the World Cup semifinals will feature the Top 4 nations in the FIFA rankings. But one team is a clear standout to Polymarket traders...

World Cup winner odds →

Breaking News

Odds

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?

View market →

57%

+50%

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

View market →

33%

-39%

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?

View market →

64%

+20%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

2d

Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?

13h

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

15h ago

Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

18h ago

Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?

18h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Iran leader end of 2026?

$2.00M

Fed Decision in July?

$723.8K

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

Norway vs. England - Player Props

10h

$2.80M

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

7d

$2.16M

France vs. Spain

2d

$1.28M

See all Top Sports →

Top Comments

Last Word

THE TOTENBERG EFFECT

On June 30, NPR published a story by legendary Supreme Court reporter Nina Totenberg incorrectly reporting the retirement of Justice Samuel Alito. This is the story of how one Polymarket trader walked away with at least $10k from sniffing out the fake news.

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