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Dinosaur fight night: T-rex vs stegosaurus

Monday, July 13, 2026

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July 13th, 2026 Unsubscribe

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book.

⚽️ World Cup on Polymarket US. $500 → $917.53 if USA advances tonight. Get $50 with first deposit to Polymarket U.S. (code POLYG50).⚽ $500 → $1,177 if Spain advances tomorrow

Top News
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Meet Gus

The Sotheby's bidding for "Gus," a complete T. Rex skeleton, starts at $19m tomorrow. Some media are reporting that Gus could be the priciest fossil ever sold. But Polymarket traders expect Gus to be price-mogged by Apex the stegosaurus, which sold for $44.6m to Ken Griffin in 2024.

How much will Gus fetch? →
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Ground war

As Iran widens attacks in the Gulf with ground troops, oil bulls keep insisting that we are weeks away from a massive oil shock. But Polymarket traders aren't buying it.

More Gulf attacks? →
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Quick Links

Oil price all time high? →
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Derby day

Kyle Schwarber gets to swing for the fences in his own backyard tonight. But traders say he still has plenty of company in South Philly - including teammate Bryce Harper.

Check odds →
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Breaking News Odds

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?

View market →
81%
+62%

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

View market →
30%
-25%

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

View market →
31%
-24%
See all Breaking →
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Ending Soon Ends In

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

1d

See all Ending Soon →
​
New Listed

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

14h ago

Who will replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

19h ago

South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

19h ago

See all New →
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Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume

Iran leader end of 2026?

$1.33M

Fed Decision in July?

$723.1K

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$796.8K

See all Hot Polymarkets →
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posted by June Lesley at 5:10 AM

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