at and t cellular: A "very significant pandemic"

May 25th, 2026

Welcome to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:

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Outbreak

With over 82 confirmed cases and 7 deaths from the Ebola outbreak in the DRC and Uganda, former CDC director Robert Redfield is warning it could become a "very significant pandemic." Odds for the first U.S. case have more than tripled this month.

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Head fake

Over the weekend, the U.S. and Iran were close to a "non-binding memorandum of understanding" to extend the ceasefire another 60 days. But both parties pulled back at the last minute. Polymarket traders still think we'll get a permanent peace deal this year.

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Wallet Watch

The contrarian

This Polymarket trader has racked up nearly $666k in profits from a series of contrarian political trades. His latest takes? Vance NO in '28 and a Republican House victory in the midterms.

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