What Polymarket traders know about Iran
Monday, April 6, 2026
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Welcome to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we're monitoring today:
 Aenews2 Is this who the orange cat was referring to? One of Polymarket's top geopolitical traders is heavily on YES for an April ceasefire.
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Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026? View market → |
45%
+18%
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ChatGPT Outage by April 10? View market → |
28%
-15%
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Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order? View market → |
2%
-13%
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What will be the top global Netflix show this week? |
13h |
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"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office |
1h |
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Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner |
2d |
| Hot Polymarkets |
24H Volume |
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Eurovision Winner 2026 |
$2.77M |
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Who will Trump talk to in March? |
$4.34M |
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...? |
$1.45M |
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Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges |
6d |
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Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage |
5h |
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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner |
104d |
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228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480
New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.
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posted by June Lesley at 4:26 AM
