at and t cellular: Trump plots NATO spanking

Trump plots NATO spanking

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Polygraph by Polymarket

April 24th, 2026

Welcome to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:

Top News

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Punishing NATO

Trump is reportedly considering options to punish NATO countries for not helping with the Iran operation. Odds of the U.S. leaving NATO this year have tripled since the start of the war.

Quick Links

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? →

Will Trump attend NATO Summit? →

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A GPT is born

OpenAI released GPT 5.5, codenamed 'Spud', yesterday. According to OpenAI, the model outperforms Gemini 3.1 Pro and Claude Opus 4.5 across a number of benchmarks - but can it unseat Anthropic as top model in blind user testing?

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Claude Mythos released by…? →

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New losing streak just dropped

Apparently the NL East is all about ridiculously long losing streaks. First, the Mets lost 12 in a row; now the Phillies are sitting on 9 straight losses with a 56% chance of hitting double-digits this evening.

Wallet Watch

Wallet Watch image

Philadelphia hopium

This Philly superfan wallet with nearly $200k in Poly PnL is counting on the Phillies to break their streak tonight and go on to take the Pennant.

View Wallet →

Breaking News

Odds

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

View market →

21%

-61%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?

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99%

+48%

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

View market →

56%

+27%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

1d

"Michael" Rotten Tomatoes score?

2d

Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

2d

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?

12h ago

Sejong Mayoral Election Winner

13h ago

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

13h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$12.88M

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$7.71M

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

$4.12M

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

86d

2026 NBA Champion

67d

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

2h

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

16h

NFL Champion 2027

296d

See all Top Sports →

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posted by June Lesley at 3:38 AM

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