at and t cellular: Troops in April

Troops in April

Thursday, March 19, 2026

Polygraph by Polymarket

Polygraph by Polymarket

March 19th, 2026

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:

Top News

Top news image

Hovercraft time

Multiple outlets are reporting on preparations underway to send troops to Iran. U.S. forces are projected to enter the country by the end of April.

Top news image

Oil up

Oil price forecasts are up across the board after Israel hit Iran's South Pars natural gas facility yesterday. Iran responded by hitting strategic oil installations in several Gulf states.

Top news image

Cuts?

More aggressive Fed rate cuts seem to be off the table this year. Oil shocks are inflationary, which makes it harder to cut rates regardless of who is at the Fed.

Top news image

Duke in retreat

Duke was a heavy favorite to win the NCAA tourney on Selection Sunday, but life comes at you fast. Following Blue Devil injury news, fellow 1-seeds Michigan and Arizona are now basically tied in the odds.

Breaking News

Odds

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

14%

-18%

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

28%

-17%

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX's initial public offering?

41%

+5%

See all Breaking

Ending Soon

Ends In

Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20?

11h

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 10, 2026?

11h

Trump approval rating on March 20?

1d

See all Ending Soon

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$4.85M

Netanyahu out by...?

$4.38M

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$1.31M

Eurovision Winner 2026

$1.26M

See all Hot Polymarkets

Top Sports

Starts In

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

3h

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

122d

South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals

15h

English Premier League Winner

68d

See all Top Sports

Whale Moves

"No" New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31?

bobe2

Whale move image

See all Whale Moves

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posted by June Lesley at 5:59 AM

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