at and t cellular: Peace through TACO?

Peace through TACO?

Thursday, March 12, 2026

Polygraph by Polymarket

Polygraph by Polymarket

March 12th, 2026

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:

Top News

Top news image

Peace through TACO?

With oil over $91 and ships blazing in the Strait, some analysts think it's only a matter of time before "Trump Always Chickens Out." Yet odds for Trump to declare mission accomplished by March 31 have been falling since the start of the conflict. June 30th looks more realistic.

Top news image

Dead Heat

Alaska is another Republican stronghold that Democrats are hoping to crack in the midterms. The Senate race is a dead heat today, but Democrat Mary Peltola clearly has the momentum. She started November as a 16% underdog.

Top news image

Revenge of the Ravens

After firing John Harbaugh and backing out on Maxx Crosby, the Baltimore Ravens' Super Bowl window still isn't closed. They signed Trey Hendrickson instead, helping make them a 16% favorite to win the AFC in 2027.

Breaking News

Odds

Anduril IPO before 2027?

View market →

46%

+9%

Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

View market →

23%

-1%

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

View market →

24%

-7%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (March 13)

13h

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

2d

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

2d

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

10h ago

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

13h ago

Will Clavicular be the top ranked Chad by March 31?

17h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Fed decision in March?

$22.12M

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

$2.78M

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

$11.88M

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.46M

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

129d

English Premier League Winner

75d

UEFA Champions League Winner

79d

Bucks vs. Heat

13h

See all Top Sports →

Whale Moves

"No" Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

FedWillWin

Whale move image

See all Whale Moves →

Top Comments

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posted by June Lesley at 4:03 AM

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