at and t cellular: JD take the wheel

JD take the wheel

Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Polygraph by Polymarket

Polygraph by Polymarket

March 25th, 2026

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:

Top News

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JD, take the wheel

Iran and the U.S. are negotiating in public over a possible ceasefire, with Iran requesting to deal directly with Vance, a known skeptic of Middle East wars. Odds for a ceasefire in the April-May timeframe are increasing.

Quick Links

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators? →

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Accelerate

The Information reports SpaceX has moved forward its IPO plans and is expected to file its prospectus in the next two weeks. Polymarket traders put a 49% chance of SpaceX's IPO valuation exceeding $2 trillion.

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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) →

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Last dance?

MLB returns from hibernation with tonight's Yankees-Giants opener. But the big concern hanging over the season is a labor battle when the agreement between owners and players expires on Dec. 1. Traders currently price the chance of a renewal by then at just 48%.

Breaking News

Odds

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?

View market →

74%

+20%

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX's initial public offering?

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26%

-15%

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

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57%

-4%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?

1d

Bank of Mexico Decision in March?

13h

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

1d

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

11h ago

How many Tornadoes in the US in April?

12h ago

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?

13h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

$37.69M

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

$11.31M

Eurovision Winner 2026

$3.15M

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

2026 NCAA Tournament Winner

9d

F1 Drivers' Champion

255d

2026 NBA Champion

97d

See all Top Sports →

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Last Word

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posted by June Lesley at 4:22 AM

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