at and t cellular: Why Hormuz odds are spiking

Polygraph by Polymarket

February 17th, 2026

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're monitoring today:

Top News

Iran Claps Back

Oil futures and odds for Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz are spiking as Tehran conducts missile exercises and Khamenei ramps up threats on U.S. carriers.

Quick Links

U.S. strikes Iran by? →

US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28? →

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of February? →

Pentagon vibe coders in trouble?

Traders are skeptical that Pete Hegseth will ban access to Claude. This follows reports that Anthropic was not happy about how the military used their AI tools during the Maduro capture.

Quick Links

Which company has the best AI model end of February? →

Sino-Canadian Bromance

China has announced visa-free travel for Canadians. In January, Trump warned: "If Canada makes a deal with China, it will immediately be hit with a 100% Tariff against all Canadian goods and products coming into the U.S.A."

Quick Links

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? →

Breaking News

Odds

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

View market →

5%

-3%

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

View market →

19%

-26%

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

View market →

23%

-23%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...?

2d

"Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office

26m

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

Will the State of the Union address be delayed?

14h ago

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

15h ago

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

19h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

$940.4K

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

$878.8K

US strikes Iran by...?

$8.74M

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

132d

NBA MVP

112d

2026 Winter Olympics: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner

4d

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

4d

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF

8h

See all Top Sports →

Whale Moves

"No" US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?

$99.6K

DonaldinhoTrumpito

See Wallet →

See all Whale Moves →

Top Comments

Last Word

Olympics gold rush

The world's best are chasing glory in Italy. Will your country lead the gold medal tally, or will a rival nation take it all? Tap Predictions on MetaMask Mobile to make your call on Polymarket.