at and t cellular: Iran Campaign on Pause?

Iran Campaign on Pause?

Monday, February 2, 2026

Polygraph by Polymarket

Polygraph by Polymarket

February 2nd, 2026

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning:

Top Stories

Top news image

Cancel Easter in Tehran?

A U.S. strike on Iran by March is no longer seen as "base case." This move follows WSJ reporting that military preparations for a large-scale regime change effort, and defending U.S. allies in the region will take more time.

Breaking: Your Crypto Bags

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have continued their slide following Trump's announcement that he will appoint QE-skeptical Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed. How low will computer coins go?

Wallet Watch

Wallet Watch image

Ride or Die with Judy Shelton

The Warsh pick for Fed Chair seems to have spooked some growth investors. Two new anonymous Polymarket wallets have been accumulating large positions that Trump will reverse the Warsh pick and go with Shelton. They will each walk away with $1m+ if it happens.

View Wallet →

Breaking News

Odds

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

View market →

89%

+39%

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

View market →

81%

+45%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

"Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office

21m

"Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office

21m

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

3d

Bank of England decision in February?

2d

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

8h ago

Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?

9h ago

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

9h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Fed decision in March?

$10.42M

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

$4.28M

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$4.12M

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$3.97M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$3.50M

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

9h

Open Sud de France: Mackenzie McDonald vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

6d

Seattle vs. New England

6d

2026 Men's Australian Open Winner

12h

English Premier League Winner

113d

See all Top Sports →

Whale Moves

"No" Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

2king

"No" Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

HH168

"Yes" Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

SlavaUkraini

See all Whale Moves →

Top Comments

Powered by @Poly_Archive

Top comment

Polymarket

If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here.

64 Bleecker Street, 167

New York, NY 10012 U.S.

posted by June Lesley at 4:15 AM

0 Comments: