The shock snow forecast you won't see on the Weather Channel
Friday, January 23, 2026
Polygraph by Polymarket
January 23rd, 2026
Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning:
Rick Rieder
Odds for BlackRock's Rick Rieder to be nominated for Fed Chair have 10X'd since December. Kevin Warsh still leads overall, but Trump recently said he is "down to maybe one" in his search to replace Powell.
The Egg Man
Polymarket trader @xcnstrategy has 6X'd his bankroll by trading one of the year's most volatile asset classes.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
View market →
8% -1%
Will Belgium join the Board of Peace?
View market →
14% -17%
Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?
View market →
56% +15%
Trump approval rating on January 23?
12h
Next President of Vietnam
1d
Next Prime Minister of Vietnam
1d
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
3d
Number of TSA Passengers January 29?
17h ago
How many Oscars will "Marty Supreme" win?
18h ago
Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$5.85M
Fed decision in January?
$9.67M
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$2.38M
Which company has the best AI model end of January?
$1.09M
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
177d
Super Bowl Champion 2026
16d
Whale Moves "No" Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
$200.2K
"No" Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?
$99.9K
"No" Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$100.6K
Last Word 🔮 AI OVERLORDS
These three Polymarket traders have an uncanny knack for predicting where AI is going next. Here are their next big trades.
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posted by June Lesley at 4:31 AM
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