Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:
Top Stories
Locked and Loaded
Mass protests are spreading in Iran, with chants now explicitly targeting 86 year old Supreme Leader Khamenei. Trump has warned the US will "come to the rescue" if the regime massacres protesters. Odds of regime collapse in 2026 have doubled in the last 48 hours.
Read more →
Back Home Again in Indiana
Indiana demolished Alabama 38-3 in the Rose Bowl yesterday, with Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza going 14-for-16 with three touchdowns. The blowout, combined with Ohio State's upset loss to Miami, doubled Indiana's odds to win the national championship. They were 100-to-1 in August.
Check odds →
People's Bodega on Pause
Mayor Mamdani's first day was heavy on housing executive orders but light on his campaign promise to open city-owned grocery stores. Traders are growing more skeptical the bodegas will materialize by June 30.
Check odds →
Breaking News
Odds
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
