at and t cellular: DOJ Opens Criminal Probe Into Powell. Charges Next?

DOJ Opens Criminal Probe Into Powell. Charges Next?

Monday, January 12, 2026

Polygraph by Polymarket

Polygraph by Polymarket

January 12th, 2026

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning:

Top Stories

Top news image

Powell Probe

The DOJ has opened a criminal investigation into whether Fed Chair Powell misled Congress about the cost of renovating the Fed's headquarters. Powell clapped back yesterday, calling the move a "pretext" to pressure the Fed to cut rates. Polymarket traders see near-term charges for Powell as unlikely.

Let's Make a Deal

Following reports that Trump is prepping airstrikes on Iran, Tehran has reached out to reboot nuclear talks. But Polymarket traders seem to think we're already past this point.

Regime Change

It's still more than twice as likely that Khamenei leaves power this year than any kind of nuclear deal.

Breaking News

Odds

US forces enter Iran by January 31?

View market →

10%

-8%

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

View market →

84%

+41%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?

View market →

16%

+13%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

Uganda Presidential Election

2d

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by January 31?

3d

Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?

3d

"Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office

26m

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

12h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Fed decision in January?

$17.32M

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$3.61M

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

$3.57M

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$2.41M

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

Canucks vs. Canadiens

12h

Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club

5h

Texans vs. Steelers

13h

Super Bowl Champion 2026

27d

See all Top Sports →

Whale Moves

"No" Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ryan888

See all Whale Moves →

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posted by June Lesley at 4:07 AM

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