at and t cellular: BREAKING: Maduro Captured. What's Next?

BREAKING: Maduro Captured. What's Next?

Saturday, January 3, 2026

Polygraph by Polymarket

Polygraph by Polymarket

January 3rd, 2026

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:

Top Stories

Top news image

Element of Surprise

Overnight, the Trump Administration carried out air and special-operations strikes inside Venezuela that succeeded in capturing Nicolás Maduro and removing him from the country. Without dispute, the polymarket for "Maduro out in 2026" has resolved to "Yes."

Invasion?

During the operation, low flying Apache helicopters were seen over Caracas facing no resistance. Polymarket traders do not see this action as a U.S. invasion of Venezuela, defined as a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the country. Odds for invasion spiked from 2% to 22% overnight, with no signs of a large-scale American presence on the ground.

President Machado?

There are reports that the Trump Administration was recently attempting to persuade Maduro to cede control to Vice President Delcy Rodriguez, which had been unsuccessful. Rodriguez has called on the U.S. to provide proof-of-life for Maduro. Meanwhile, odds have doubled overnight for Venezuelan dissident and recent Nobel Peace Prize winner María Corina Machado, also seen as a possible Maduro replacement, to re-enter Venezuela by the end of January.

Breaking News

Odds

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

View market →

48%

+47%

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?

View market →

99%

+46%

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

View market →

84%

+13%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?

2d

Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?

3d

NFC West Winner

2d

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

5h ago

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?

11h ago

Elon Musk # tweets January 6 - January 13, 2026?

8h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$12.52M

Fed decision in January?

$9.95M

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

$5.49M

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1.60M

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

Timberwolves vs. Heat

8h

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona

6h

English Premier League Winner

143d

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF

23h

Seahawks vs. 49ers

15h

See all Top Sports →

Whale Moves

"No" Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

wkmfa57

"No" US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

wkmfa57

See all Whale Moves →

Polymarket

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posted by June Lesley at 6:16 AM

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