at and t cellular: Yoga pants, Epstein files, gift inflation

Yoga pants, Epstein files, gift inflation

Sunday, December 14, 2025

Polygraph by Polymarket

Polygraph by Polymarket

December 14th, 2025

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What's happening today:

Top Stories

Top news image

Epstein Deadline Looms

The Trump Administration has five days left to release the Epstein files, as required by the Epstein Files Transparancy Act, which passed in the House 427-1. We interviewed Ro Khanna, the law's co-author, on what happens next if the DOJ keeps stalling.

Lululemon's Next CEO?

Yoga pants maker Lululemon's stock pumped 10% on news that its CEO would be replaced. The stock has been cut in half this year. There is no clear favorite yet in the odds, although the company's founder recently took out a full-page ad in the WSJ calling for a more "product-driven" leader.

Santaflation

Each year the NORAD Santa Tracker publishes the total number of gifts delivered on Christmas. The market is currently expecting 8.2-8.3b gifts. If accurate, this would put the gift inflation rate at well below 2%.

Breaking News

Odds

Will muddyrc win the Genesis Cup?

View market →

33%

+11%

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

View market →

37%

-23%

Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?

View market →

21%

+10%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office

8d

Bank of Japan decision in December?

4d

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

16d

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

14h ago

Will Dan Crenshaw sue Shawn Ryan by Jan 31?

15h ago

Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?

13h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

Volume

Portugal Presidential Election

$3.48M

Fed decision in January?

$4.91M

Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?

$2.88M

Highest grossing movie in 2025?

$1.08M

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$1.45M

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

UEFA Champions League Winner

167d

Super Bowl Champion 2026

56d

2026 NBA Champion

198d

Chargers vs. Chiefs

1h

Cardinals vs. Texans

1h

See all Top Sports →

Whale Moves

$160,619 position on "No" iX Jinping out in 2025?

victorpark

See all Whale Moves →

That's all for today.

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posted by June Lesley at 4:41 AM

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