Winning Fed Trader Building Sizable Position for January Cut
Monday, December 15, 2025
Polygraph by Polymarket
December 15th, 2025
Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What's happening today:
Top Stories
More Cuts in January?
"Economancy" is a highly profitable Polymarket trader specializing in Fed rate decisions. The account has accumulated a $72k position on "Yes" for a 25 bps rate cut at the January Fed meeting while the market is heavily favoriting "No cut." $351,461 if he's right. Here's his profile.
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Trump Cartel Strikes
Odds for Trump to carry out anti-cartel operations on foreign soil by end-of-year have plunged more than 40 points from a high of 71% in October.
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Dutch Coalition Over Before it Begins?
The October Dutch election produced a highly fragmented parliament, with centrist‑liberal D66 winning a plurality but short of a majority. After weeks of stalemate, a three‑party basis coalition of D66, CDA, and VVD has emerged as the favorite but odds for them to form the have plunged more than 20% in recent days as internal tensions in the coalition have emerged.