Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What's happening today:
Top Stories
A Third Tanker?
U.S. forces seized a second Venezuelan oil tanker yesterday, and odds are surging for them to take another by year end. This comes as part of Trump's new "blockade" policy, vowing to keep seized crude and target any ship moving sanctioned Venezuelan oil. Chevron continues to transport Venezuelan oil under a carve‑out.
Read more →
Election from Hell
It's been three weeks since the November 30th Honduran presidential election and the results are still not in. Conservative candidate Nasry "Tito" Asfura remains a heavy favorite in the odds, despite leading partial vote tallies by less than 50,000 votes. There are still nearly 500,000 votes in dispute, and the country has a legal deadline of December 30 to finish the count.
Check odds →
Bondi Impeached?
Attorney General Pam Bondi is under fire following the chaotic release of a new partial batch of Epstein files. Her odds of exiting the Trump administration next year spiked following news that Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie are drafting articles of impeachment against her.
Check odds →
Breaking News
Odds
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?