at and t cellular: Stranger Things Finale: Eleven Was Too Obvious

Polygraph by Polymarket

December 31st, 2025

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:

Top Stories

Stranger Things

"A long-time fan favorite meets his end in a way that feels tragically inevitable..." Polymarket traders are reading the IMDB tea leaves to predict which character(s) will not make it out alive. Odds for Eleven to get killed off in tonight's finale were trading as high as 70% but have plunged in recent days.

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Bank Failure Bingo

Polymarket traders are calling B.S. on rumors that volatility in the silver market has caused a large global bank to go bust. Odds for any of the suspect megabanks to blow up by Q3 are well under 10%. Least risky banks include Goldman and BNP Paribas. See the most risky banks after the jump.

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Dems' House Comeback

Odds for the Democrats to win the House in 2026 touched an all time high of 80% yesterday before falling slightly. A historically large wave of Republican retirements and a consistent Democrat edge in the generic ballot (+3 to +5) seem to be driving the move. Republicans are still favored to hold the Senate.

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Breaking News

Odds

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?

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78%

+41%

Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?

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15%

-18%

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

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41%

-20%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025?

9h

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025?

9h

Trump approval rating on December 31?

9h

Will the New Year's Eve ball not drop?

9h

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

HLTV Awards: Top 5 players of 2025

12h ago

Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?

20h ago

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

20h ago

See all New →

Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Maduro out by...?

$4.01M

Elon Musk # tweets December 26 - January 2, 2026?

$2.30M

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by ___?

$7.41M

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$21.34M

See all Hot Polymarkets →

Top Sports

Starts In

Pelicans vs. Bulls

9h

NBA MVP

160d

Magic vs. Pacers

5h

Nuggets vs. Raptors

10h

Jets vs. Red Wings

9h

See all Top Sports →

Whale Moves

"Illinois" Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)

$483.2K

Latina

"Yes" Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

$388.8K

poorsob

"Princeton Tigers" Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-3.5)

$329.8K

Latina

"Yes" Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

$313.8K

jslxyf

See all Whale Moves →

Last Word

What Smart Money Knows

"The Oracle by Polymarket" on Substack interviews traders who spot what others miss: the political outsider who saw Mamdani at 8%, the competitive forecaster who predicted Israel's Iran strike months early. From elections, to finance, to geopolitics, learn to see the world like a world-class forecaster.

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