at and t cellular: NVIDIA Time Bomb?

NVIDIA Time Bomb?

Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Polygraph by Polymarket

Polygraph by Polymarket

December 16th, 2025

Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What's happening today:

Top Stories

Depreciation

Big Short star Michael Burry has shot to the top of the Substack charts with a bearish call on NVIDIA. And now famed short seller Jim Chanos is warning of "massive financial risk" from how NVIDIA's customers like CoreWeave handle depreciation for GPUs. Yet NVIDIA is still leading the odds to be the world's largest company through end-2026.

Noah is making moves

Last week, we noted that "Liam" was the most vulnerable frontrunner name on the top baby names of 2025 list. With less than two weeks left in the year, "Noah" is making a last-minute run. Odds for Noah to be top boy name this year have shot up 21% in the last 24 hours following a data update from the Social Security Administration.

Tiktok

Odds for Larry Ellison / Oracle to close the Tiktok deal by end 2026 increased 8% overnight. This follows a U.S. Supreme Court's unanimous decision upholding the 2023 law banning TikTok's ownership by China.

Breaking News

Odds

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?

View market →

72%

+34%

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

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29%

+18%

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

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14%

-7%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

ECB Interest Rates: December 2025

1d

Bank of Japan decision in December?

2d

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?

14d

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

12h ago

What will Trump say during Hanukkah Reception on December 16?

8h ago

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

13h ago

See all New →

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Top Sports

Starts In

Spurs vs. Knicks

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Whale Moves

$98,300 position on "No" Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

luciousleft

$94,881 position on "No" Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

mmmmmmm2

See all Whale Moves →

Top Comments

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That's all for today.

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posted by June Lesley at 5:08 AM

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