Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. Today, we're previewing what 2026 has in store for the orange coin.
Top Stories
Quantum Leap
Some investors are banging the table on the need to upgrade Bitcoin's encryption algorithm to resist quantum computing threats. Could it happen next year?
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Boom
Bitcoin hit an all-time-high of $124,774 on October 6 of 2025. Traders are fairly confident we'll see a return to the $120k level next year, but beyond that the road to Valhalla gets much steeper.
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Bust
One possible downside scenario for BTC is that Michael Saylor's Strategy (formerly Microstrategy) becomes a seller of coins. Management raised this possibility for the first time on a recent investor call. There's a real chance it happens in '26.
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Held In Trust?
Trump has been quiet on Bitcoin reserve plans lately. But traders are still holding out hope that he fulfills his campaign pledge for a strategic BTC stockpile next year.
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Breaking News
Odds
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 26?
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34%
-24%
Will an Erewhon open in NYC in 2025?
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9%
-23%
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?