Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:
Top Stories
Client List?
A new tranche of thousands of Epstein files dropped yesterday. In it were some extremely unlikely names, including Stephen Colbert, Jay-Z, and AOC. There's still a decent chance the full Epstein client list is released by mid-2026, even though the DOJ has insisted it doesn't exist.
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SpaceX Stimmy for Tesla Owners?
Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public by merging it a company he controls. This would allow Musk to offer SpaceX shares to Tesla shareholders and other designated individuals. Could it happen?
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Greenland 2026
Denmark's foreign minister on Monday said he was "deeply upset" by US President Donald Trump's appointment of a special envoy to Greenland who has declared wanting to annex the island. Could it happen? It's a longer shot than the Ackman's SpaceX scheme but not outside the realm of possibility.
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Breaking News
Odds
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
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6%
-5%
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
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99%
+8%
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
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