Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What's happening today:
Top Stories
Liam
Every year the Social Security Administration releases a list of the most popular baby names in America. With less than a month left in 2025, it's likely we will get a repeat of last year when "Liam" and "Olivia" topped the lists. Of the two names, Liam still has a slim chance to be unseated by "Noah."
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Warner Bros Bidding War?
Larrry Ellison and Paramount, backed by Middle Eastern private equity, launched a $108m all-cash hostile bid for Warner Brothers Discovery. In the current forecast, Paramount has the edge over Netflix, but this could become a bidding war.
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Thailand-Cambodia Clashes
Thailand's military has launched air attacks along its disputed border with Cambodia as the countries traded blame for clashes that killed one Thai soldier and four Cambodian civilians. Odds are slim for a ceasefire by Monday.
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Breaking News
Odds
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?